Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.220695 1.465443 1.765309 2.166187 2.698218 3.395303e+00 4.404555e+00
2025-01-12 0.855621 1.126832 1.505659 2.096413 3.041358 4.589925e+00 7.566162e+00
2025-01-19 0.669894 0.937513 1.346021 2.057949 3.374928 5.989182e+00 1.261559e+01
2025-01-26 0.587768 0.866370 1.325983 2.213225 4.106445 8.723978e+00 2.521641e+01
2025-02-02 0.522112 0.801350 1.291401 2.321436 4.815133 1.223954e+01 5.151651e+01
2025-02-09 0.459386 0.726199 1.216442 2.316564 5.266483 1.573438e+01 9.961195e+01
2025-02-16 0.404392 0.653676 1.128082 2.248860 5.516673 1.905499e+01 1.881549e+02
2025-02-23 0.370724 0.613747 1.094194 2.296072 6.157199 2.557486e+01 5.210404e+02
2025-03-02 0.346526 0.587305 1.081687 2.392806 7.064389 3.655194e+01 2.685104e+03
2025-03-09 0.320155 0.552421 1.043472 2.407335 7.700278 4.877167e+01 3.377935e+04
2025-03-16 0.291143 0.508299 0.976359 2.317414 7.840197 5.790263e+01 3.577449e+07
2025-03-23 0.276582 0.491742 0.969709 2.408558 8.942928 8.745478e+01 NaN
2025-03-30 0.259161 0.467526 0.941812 2.428980 9.774366 1.257361e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.239265 0.435830 0.890608 2.356667 10.037246 1.600421e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.223031 0.410330 0.851056 2.313760 10.479877 2.160120e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.217653 0.408068 0.870823 2.496169 12.822337 4.946478e+02 NaN
2025-04-27 0.210303 0.400424 0.874950 2.623504 15.092438 1.215475e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.199153 0.382786 0.848693 2.617800 16.221591 2.442439e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 0.186815 0.361193 0.808197 2.538183 16.512464 4.120006e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 0.179548 0.350906 0.798565 2.593694 18.533782 1.781559e+04 NaN
2025-05-25 0.174351 0.345033 0.800891 2.707628 21.755942 1.119853e+06 NaN
2025-06-01 0.167083 0.333406 0.784236 2.724762 23.803099 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.157535 0.315369 0.745663 2.618809 23.664989 NaN NaN